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Trump Faces Eroding Support Among Key Voter Groups, New Poll Shows
Many of the demographic groups that helped elect Donald Trump to a second presidential term are growing increasingly dissatisfied with his performance, according to a comprehensive new AP-NORC poll released this week.
The survey of more than 2,500 U.S. adults, conducted from April 16-20 by The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research, reveals declining approval ratings among Hispanic adults, younger voters, and men – all crucial components of the coalition that returned Trump to the White House.
The timing of the poll coincides with volatile oil prices and rising costs at gas pumps nationwide, creating a particularly challenging political environment for the Republican president. However, the data suggests a broader pattern of dissatisfaction that has been building steadily over the past year, rather than a reaction to recent economic fluctuations.
Among Hispanic adults, Trump’s approval rating has plummeted 16 percentage points since March 2025, with only about one-quarter now approving of his job performance. This decline began late last year, indicating factors beyond the current Iran conflict or gas price increases are driving Hispanic discontent.
Trump’s restrictive immigration policies may be a significant factor in this demographic shift. Only about one-quarter of Hispanic adults approve of his handling of immigration, down from 36% at the beginning of his second term. The president’s immigration approach appears especially unpopular with younger Hispanic Americans – a group where Trump had made electoral gains in 2024. Just 18% of younger Hispanic adults approve of his immigration performance.
Economic concerns are also prevalent among Hispanic voters, with only about one-quarter approving of Trump’s economic management and approximately 20% supporting his approach to addressing the cost of living. Few Hispanic adults – about 20% – describe the nation’s economy as “good.”
Young adults represent another demographic where Trump is losing ground. His overall approval among Americans under 45 has declined from 39% in March 2025 to 28% in the latest poll. Young women are particularly critical of his economic policies, with only about 20% of women under 45 approving of Trump’s economic management. This figure drops to just 7% among younger Hispanic women. Young men are slightly more approving at 30%.
The president’s challenges with younger voters extend across racial lines. Only about one-third of white adults under 45 approve of Trump’s performance, compared to 45% of white adults 45 and older.
Men, a demographic that broadly supported Trump in the 2024 election, are also showing signs of disillusionment. During his campaign, Trump made significant appeals to male voters, including targeted outreach to Black and Hispanic men who were attracted to his economic promises. Since returning to office, however, approval among men has declined from 47% to 38%.
Black men appear particularly disappointed with Trump’s economic performance. They are more likely than white or Hispanic men to disapprove of Trump’s presidency, economic policies, cost of living approaches, and handling of Iran. Only about 10% of Black men approve of Trump’s management of living costs, while roughly 20% support his economic policies.
Hispanic men hold similarly negative views, with only about 30% approving of Trump’s overall performance regardless of age. Support remains stronger among white men, where approximately half still approve of the president.
Even among Republicans, traditionally Trump’s most loyal supporters, there are indications of growing frustration. Roughly two-thirds of Republicans currently approve of Trump’s job performance – down from 82% at the beginning of his second term and approaching the GOP low point from his first administration.
Cost of living appears to be a particular concern within his party. Only about half of Republicans overall approve of Trump’s approach to addressing rising prices, and a majority of Republicans under 45 disapprove of his handling of this issue.
Trump continues to maintain strong support from his MAGA base, with about 90% of self-identified “Make America Great Again” Republicans approving of his job performance and his handling of the Iran situation. This core loyalty persists despite recent criticism from some conservative media figures regarding his Iran policies.
However, the MAGA faction represents only about 54% of Republicans overall. Among non-MAGA Republicans, Trump’s approval rating stands at a much lower 44%.
The AP-NORC poll has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2.6 percentage points for the overall adult population, suggesting these trends reflect genuine shifts in public opinion rather than statistical anomalies.
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10 Comments
This is an interesting poll, but I’m curious to see how the data breaks down by specific issues and policy positions. Do we know if the dissatisfaction is across the board or concentrated in certain areas?
That’s a good question. Detailed breakdowns of the poll results would provide more context on the drivers behind the shifting sentiment.
It will be interesting to see how Trump and his team respond to these shifting approval ratings. Do they double down on certain strategies or try to broaden their appeal? The next steps could be crucial.
Good point. The campaign’s strategic adjustments in response to these poll results could significantly impact the political landscape going forward.
This poll highlights the challenges Trump faces in maintaining support across a diverse electorate. Appealing to such a wide range of voters is no easy feat, especially in a polarized political landscape.
Absolutely. Balancing the needs and priorities of different demographic groups is a constant challenge for any political leader.
It’s concerning to see Trump’s approval ratings declining among key voter groups. However, I wonder how much of this is due to specific policy positions vs. broader perceptions. A deeper dive into the data would be helpful to understand the nuances.
Agreed, the underlying reasons behind the shifts in approval are crucial to analyze. Polls can only provide a high-level snapshot, so further investigation would be warranted.
The economic conditions like volatile oil prices and inflation certainly don’t help Trump’s political standing. But I’m curious if there are other factors at play as well, like specific policy decisions or personal controversies.
That’s a fair point. The current economic climate is likely a significant factor, but there could be other elements shaping voter perceptions as well.