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Americans Enter Holiday Season with Economic Unease Despite Cooling Inflation

Americans are heading into the holidays with persistent concerns about the economy, even as inflation continues to show signs of slowing down. For many families, Thanksgiving has become an unofficial moment to assess President Donald Trump’s economic policies and whether his campaign promises on affordability are materializing.

This economic uncertainty is clearly reflected in consumer behavior as the holiday season approaches. While shoppers remain cautious about major purchases, many are still willing to open their wallets selectively when they perceive good value, creating a complex picture of consumer sentiment.

“Our interviews reveal that consumers believe that now is a very unfavorable time for major purchases for multiple reasons, including high prices and high borrowing costs,” explained Joanne Hsu, director and chief economist of the University of Michigan’s Surveys of Consumers. “It is possible, however, that consumers may still be willing to spend on smaller-ticket items. That said, it is likely that consumers will be looking for value and the best way to stretch their dollars given that they generally do not feel confident about the economy at this time,” Hsu told Fox News Digital.

The gap between improving economic indicators and persistent public pessimism presents a significant political challenge for Trump. Having returned to the White House on promises to make life more affordable for Americans, he now faces growing skepticism about whether those promises are being fulfilled.

Recent polling underscores this disconnect. According to a Fox News national survey, 76% of voters currently rate the economy negatively, up from 67% in July and 70% at the end of former President Joe Biden’s tenure. The poll found voters largely hold Trump accountable for the economic conditions, with approximately twice as many blaming him for the current economy as Biden, and three times as many reporting his policies have personally harmed them financially.

The data shows Trump’s economic approval ratings have hit a new low, while disapproval of his overall job performance has reached record highs, even among some of his core supporters who previously showed unwavering loyalty.

Democrats have capitalized on these economic concerns in recent state and local elections with significant success. In regions like Virginia, New York, and New Jersey, where residents face particularly high housing costs and utility expenses, Democratic candidates effectively argued that Trump’s early economic initiatives, especially his trade policies, were exacerbating rather than alleviating affordability issues.

Democratic campaigns focused on promises to control energy costs, expand affordable housing options, and protect middle-class wages—a message that resonated strongly with voters. Analysts suggest this reflects a fundamental political reality: in an economic environment where many households feel financially strained, the party that most directly addresses everyday pocketbook concerns often prevails at the ballot box.

“I think they made a real strategic blunder back in January and February and that is that the president ran on inflation and promised to lower prices and then his very first and most prominent policy moves were to enact policies that were going to increase prices,” said Scott Lincicome, vice president of general economics at Cato’s Herbert A. Stiefel Center for trade policy studies.

Lincicome added, “Americans aren’t stupid, and they can put two and two together. If the guy who promised you lower prices then suddenly promises to raise prices and prices go up, well, guess what? That guy is going to get blamed.”

The situation is complicated by reports showing nearly one in four American households living paycheck to paycheck, highlighting the financial stress many families continue to experience despite macroeconomic improvements.

For the Trump administration, the true test may not be found in economic statistics but in conversations around dinner tables this Thanksgiving. If American families don’t yet feel the economic relief that was promised during the campaign, this holiday season could reveal just how wide the gap remains between Trump’s affordability promises and the lived economic reality of average Americans.

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13 Comments

  1. Mary L. Martin on

    The economic unease is palpable, with high prices and borrowing costs weighing on consumers. The administration will need to find ways to alleviate these concerns ahead of the holidays.

  2. William Miller on

    The economic uncertainty is clearly reflected in consumer behavior, with cautious spending on major purchases but some openness to smaller, value-driven items. A complex picture indeed.

  3. Mary A. Martinez on

    It’s an interesting time for the administration as they navigate the economic landscape and consumer sentiment heading into the holidays. Addressing affordability concerns will be key.

  4. The economic uncertainty is palpable, with high prices and borrowing costs weighing on consumers. It will be crucial for the administration to address these concerns ahead of the holidays.

    • John Rodriguez on

      Shoppers appear to be selective in their spending, looking for the best value. This could create challenges for retailers during the critical holiday season.

  5. Curious to see how the administration will respond to the complex consumer sentiment, with caution around major purchases but openness to value-driven smaller items. A delicate balance to strike.

    • Jennifer G. Rodriguez on

      The holiday season could be a crucial test for the administration’s economic policies and their ability to address affordability concerns.

  6. It will be interesting to see how the administration navigates the economic challenges and consumer sentiment heading into the holiday season. Addressing affordability concerns will be crucial.

    • Jennifer Rodriguez on

      The selective nature of consumer spending could create challenges for retailers, underscoring the need for a nuanced approach to economic policy.

  7. Interesting to see how the economic climate will impact consumer behavior this holiday season. It will be a test for the administration’s policies and rhetoric around affordability.

    • Consumers seem wary of major purchases but may still be open to smaller, value-driven purchases. A complex picture emerging.

  8. Robert Williams on

    Curious to see how the administration will respond to the economic unease and its impact on consumer behavior. The holiday season could be a crucial test for their policies.

    • The selective nature of consumer spending during this period highlights the complexities facing the administration and the need for targeted solutions.

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