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In a significant shift from Russia’s traditional propaganda tactics, the Kremlin has increasingly turned to sophisticated influence campaigns that offer greater deniability and prove more challenging to counter, experts say.

Western governments moved quickly to sanction established Russian state media outlets like RT and Sputnik following the 2022 invasion of Ukraine. These prominent propaganda channels were easily identifiable targets, with clear links to the Russian government and consistent messaging that aligned with Moscow’s official positions.

However, according to Sophie Williams-Dunning, a cyber and technology researcher at the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI), Russia has adapted its approach. The new wave of influence operations “allow for a level of plausible deniability that complicates counter-influence efforts,” Williams-Dunning explained.

These more subtle campaigns often operate through networks of seemingly independent websites, social media accounts, and even artificial personas designed to appear legitimate to Western audiences. Unlike state-branded outlets, these operations can be difficult to attribute directly to the Russian government.

Security experts have identified numerous such networks over the past two years. They typically share content that appears to originate from diverse sources but ultimately advances Russian strategic narratives about the war in Ukraine, Western political divisions, and global affairs.

“These operations are designed to blend into the information ecosystem,” said a Western intelligence official speaking on condition of anonymity. “They might not even explicitly promote pro-Russian viewpoints, but instead focus on amplifying existing tensions within target societies.”

The European Union’s East StratCom Task Force, established in 2015 to address Russia’s disinformation campaigns, has documented thousands of cases where such networks have spread misleading information about everything from NATO activities to COVID-19 vaccines.

These influence operations often target specific demographics or political groups within Western countries, exploiting existing social divisions rather than attempting to change minds through direct propaganda. This approach makes the content more likely to be shared organically, extending its reach beyond what traditional state media could achieve.

Social media platforms have struggled to identify and remove such content, particularly when it doesn’t clearly violate platform policies. The campaigns frequently operate across multiple platforms simultaneously, making comprehensive detection challenging.

“The line between legitimate political discourse and foreign influence operations has become increasingly blurred,” noted Williams-Dunning. “This creates significant challenges for both governments and platforms attempting to safeguard democratic processes.”

Western governments have responded by increasing funding for media literacy programs and establishing specialized units to identify and expose foreign influence operations. However, the effectiveness of these countermeasures remains limited against constantly evolving tactics.

RUSI, where Williams-Dunning conducts her research, is one of the UK’s leading security and defense think tanks, providing analysis on global security challenges since 1831. The institute has increasingly focused on information warfare and cyber threats as these domains have grown in strategic importance.

As the conflict in Ukraine continues well into its second year, experts anticipate that Russian influence operations will continue to adapt. Recent evidence suggests these campaigns are becoming more technically sophisticated, potentially incorporating artificial intelligence tools to create and distribute content more efficiently.

“What we’re seeing is the evolution of information warfare,” Williams-Dunning concluded. “The challenge for democratic societies is how to defend against these influence campaigns without undermining the very freedoms of expression that they seek to protect.”

The ongoing battle against Russian influence operations represents just one aspect of a broader geopolitical competition taking place in the information space – one that will likely shape international relations and domestic politics for years to come.

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