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Former President Donald Trump’s recent claims about needing to acquire Greenland for American security interests have been dismissed as propaganda by a Norwegian defense expert, who warns that such rhetoric serves to create uncertainty and division among NATO allies.

Paul Buvarp, a researcher at the Norwegian Defence Research Establishment specializing in influence operations and disinformation, challenged Trump’s assertions that the United States faces significant threats from Russia and China in Greenland.

“That Russia and China pose major threats to Greenland, as Trump claims, is not something the rest of us have seen,” Buvarp said. He noted that the United States already maintains substantial military presence in Greenland through a 1951 agreement that established bases and surveillance facilities.

The researcher believes Trump’s statements about Greenland should be interpreted as a form of modern propaganda, designed not to persuade but to create unease. “When statements mainly create confusion, reactions, and unease, it’s a sign that the goal is the unease itself, not the content,” Buvarp explained.

While it remains unclear if Trump explicitly aims to divide Europe, Buvarp observed that such rhetoric aligns with a narrative promoted by certain American political circles. “These kinds of statements fit neatly into a narrative Trump – and parts of American politics – have already promoted: That Europe is fragmented, weak, and incapable of taking responsibility for its own security,” he said.

This narrative was evident less than a year ago when JD Vance, now Trump’s vice-presidential running mate, characterized Europe as a continent in decline during a speech in Munich. Buvarp pointed out that similar messaging appears in recent U.S. national security strategy documents, which criticize European dysfunction rather than focusing on Chinese and Russian threats.

Contradicting Trump’s geographical claims, Buvarp highlighted a factual inconsistency: “The president shouts that Greenland is what stands between him and Russia. But if you look at the map, Russia is dangerously close – and much closer – to the state of Alaska.”

If genuine security concerns exist in the Arctic region, Buvarp argued that cooperation rather than division would be the logical approach. The U.S. should work with European partners on comprehensive military operations and security systems instead of pursuing unilateral strategies.

Other experts have expressed concern about the timing and focus of Trump’s Greenland statements. Svein Vigeland Rottem, senior researcher at the Fridtjof Nansen Institute, suggested that leaders in Moscow and Beijing might be benefiting from this distraction. Kari Aga Myklebost, professor of Russian history at UiT The Arctic University of Norway, believes the Greenland discussion diverts attention from the war in Ukraine, which remains Europe’s most pressing security challenge.

“It’s crucial not to be thrown off balance by Russia. Their goal is to weaken unity among Western countries, and thereby support for Ukraine,” Myklebost said.

The Greenland statements come amid Trump’s controversial pronouncements on other international issues, including peace plans for Gaza and threats against Venezuela, as well as domestic actions like immigration enforcement operations in Minnesota.

While Buvarp acknowledges it’s impossible to discern Trump’s true intentions or predict how much of his rhetoric might translate into policy, he emphasized the damaging effect such statements have on transatlantic relations.

“These huge differences in how reality is perceived are extremely damaging for cooperation with Europe, NATO, and relationships within Europe itself,” Buvarp concluded.

The growing divide in security perceptions between the United States and Europe poses significant challenges for the alliance at a time when unity would be the most effective response to genuine geopolitical threats.

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8 Comments

  1. Jennifer A. Williams on

    Trump’s claims about Greenland threats seem to be more political theater than reality-based analysis. As the researcher notes, the US already has a significant military presence there under the 1951 agreement. This looks like an attempt to stir up controversy rather than address real security issues.

    • Elijah Rodriguez on

      I agree, the researcher makes a good point that the goal seems to be creating unease and division, not presenting a credible security case. Disinformation campaigns like this undermine trust and cooperation between allies.

  2. The researcher’s insight that Trump’s Greenland statements are aimed at creating unease, rather than persuasion, is quite concerning. Sowing division among allies undermines the cohesion and trust that NATO depends on. This is a troubling development.

  3. The researcher’s assessment that Trump’s Greenland rhetoric is a form of modern propaganda rings true. Sowing confusion and unease, rather than persuasion, does seem to be the aim. It’s concerning to see this kind of tactic used to potentially disrupt NATO cohesion.

  4. Interesting that the US already has a substantial military presence in Greenland per the 1951 agreement. Trump’s claims about new threats seem unfounded, as the researcher points out. This smacks of political gamesmanship rather than addressing real security needs.

    • I agree, the existing US military footprint in Greenland calls into question the validity of Trump’s rhetoric. Stoking tensions within NATO for political gain is deeply concerning.

  5. Interesting analysis on Trump’s Greenland rhetoric. Sowing division within NATO certainly seems to be the goal, rather than any legitimate security concerns. I wonder how this will impact ongoing cooperation between the US and its European allies.

    • You raise a good point. Undermining NATO unity appears to be the real motive here, not any tangible military threat. This kind of disinformation can be quite damaging if left unchecked.

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